COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Angola4 - 2Lesotho
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Angola and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angola 0-1 Mauritius
Monday, July 10 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Monday, July 10 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 10 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Monday, July 10 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.41%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Lesotho |
68.14% ( -0.38) | 21.37% ( 0.2) | 10.49% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 35.3% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
