We said: Monaco 2-0 Amiens
Amiens have done significantly well to get this far but are faced with the difficult task of eliminating one of the firm favourites to go all the way. We fancy Monaco to get the job done and progress into the semi finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monaco in this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Amiens |
65.96% | 20.18% | 13.86% |
Both teams to score 47.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% | 46.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% | 68.48% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% | 13.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% | 39.81% |
Amiens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% | 44.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.23% | 80.77% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Amiens |
2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.84% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.31% Total : 13.86% |