Lille are coming into this clash after a five-star performance against Troyes, and their fans will be expecting a similar scoreline when they face Ligue 2 opposition this Sunday. Pau will be relishing the opportunity to compete with one of France's elite clubs this weekend but face an almighty task in keeping the score down - let alone progressing into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pau had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Pau
69.62% ( -0.06)	18.69% ( -0.01)	11.69% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.39% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

0.26)

44.82% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

0.25)

67.18% (

-0.24)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

0.06)

11.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.18% (

0.12)

36.82% (

-0.12)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.54% (

0.3)

47.46% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.17% (

0.22)

82.83% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Lille 69.61%

Pau 11.69%

Draw 18.69%

Lille	Draw	Pau
2-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 69.61%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.69%	0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 11.69%