MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 13:52:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
0 - 0
Lille

FT

Cabella (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Under new management, Brest will hope they can turn a corner following a tough start, but a third consecutive European-chasing opponent will present a huge challenge. This has not been a happy hunting ground recently though for Lille, and there will be pressure on the side to win given their underwhelming league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
19.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.87% (0.00099999999999767 0) 57.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)47.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.044 -0.04)69.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.067 -0.07)37.84% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)74.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.95%
    Lille 57.16%
    Draw 22.87%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.16%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
16.2%
Draw
15.2%
Lille
68.6%
105
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre176472426-222
10Brest177192630-422
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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