MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 20:08:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
4 - 2
MVV

Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Gooijer (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Remans (21'), Blummel (47'), Essers (83'), Waem (84')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Den Bosch 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-2 Heracles
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
58.69% (1.699 1.7) 20.06% (-0.622 -0.62) 21.25% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 64.04% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.55% (1.602 1.6)32.45% (-1.604 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.91% (1.836 1.84)54.09% (-1.837 -1.84)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (0.961 0.96)10.97% (-0.962 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.78% (2.082 2.08)35.22% (-2.083 -2.08)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.73% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 58.69%
    MVV Maastricht 21.25%
    Draw 20.06%
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.223 0.22)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.178 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.113 0.11)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.69%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 3.91% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs MVV

Jong Ajax
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
MVV Maastricht
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Dzepar (56')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
Oct 23, 2020 5.45pm
MVV
1-5
Jong Ajax
Deom (25')
Heerings (63'), Van Acker (90+1')
De Waal (27'), Rensch (51'), Musampa (62'), Giovanni (67'), Unuvar (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam26164657332452
2Dordrecht26138545331247
3SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior26137645281746
4ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag26137643301346
5Cambuur26143939261345
6Den BoschDen Bosch26126840291142
7De GraafschapDe Graafschap26117849381140
8TelstarTelstar26108843321138
9Roda JC2610793736137
10Helmond SportHelmond2510693437-336
11EmmenEmmen25105103836235
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven26105113943-435
13MVV MaastrichtMVV268994138333
14Jong AZJong AZ2586114345-230
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2576123133-227
16TOP OssOss2669111941-2227
17VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2575132541-1626
18Jong PSVJong PSV2563163754-1721
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2428142051-3114
20Vitesse2677123657-211


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