Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
