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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Walsall

Blackburn
4 - 3
Walsall

Gilsenan (21'), Ennis (40'), Garrett (50'), Buckley (67')
FT(HT: 2-2)
McEntee (19'), Tierney (37'), Maher (84')
Johnson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-0 Walsall

Blackburn opened their Championship campaign with a win on Saturday, and they will be very confident of recording an even bigger victory against Walsall on Tuesday night. The Saddlers continued their poor away form from the 2022-23 season with a loss at Morecambe last time out, and we believe that Rovers' attacking powers will be too strong for the fourth-tier visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWalsall
40.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.02%33.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47%50.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55%72.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.47%
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.02%
    Walsall 33.96%
    Draw 26.01%
Blackburn RoversDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.96%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Walsall

Blackburn Rovers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Walsall
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Walsall
1-2
Blackburn
Fitzwater (45')
Dobson (85'), Ngoy (88')
Graham (17', 26')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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