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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Walsall |
40.85% ( 0.39) | 27.02% ( -0.12) | 32.13% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( 0.39) | 54.99% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( 0.32) | 76.26% ( -0.32) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.39) | 26.46% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( 0.52) | 61.64% ( -0.52) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.81% ( 0.01) | 68.19% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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