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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
41.71% ( -0.19) | 26.37% ( 0.01) | 31.92% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.5% ( 0.02) | 52.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( 0.01) | 74.16% ( -0.01) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( -0.09) | 24.88% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.51% ( -0.13) | 59.49% ( 0.13) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( 0.13) | 30.64% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( 0.15) | 66.89% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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