MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 23:32:51| >> :600:1476563:1476563:
Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

McGuinness (68'), Colwill (90+1')
McGuinness (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anthony (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

We said: Cardiff City 2-0 Bristol Rovers

Despite losing their opening game of the season, and Bristol Rovers winning theirs, Cardiff boast a much stronger side, owing to the fact they play a division higher, and the hosts should comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol Rovers
37.46% (-7.033 -7.03) 24.74% (0.274 0.27) 37.81% (6.762 6.76)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.175 0.17)44.42% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.17 0.17)66.79% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-3.292 -3.29)23.46% (3.294 3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-5.017 -5.02)57.47% (5.018 5.02)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (4.008 4.01)23.27% (-4.006 -4.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (5.513 5.51)57.2% (-5.513 -5.51)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37.46%
    Bristol Rovers 37.81%
    Draw 24.74%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.794 -0.79)
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.892 -0.89)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-1.313 -1.31)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.846 -0.85)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.99 -0.99)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.502 -0.5)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.149 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.98 0.98)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.814 0.81)
0-2 @ 5.8% (1.161 1.16)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.87 0.87)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.387 0.39)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.809 0.81)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.445 0.45)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.243 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.375 0.38)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol Rovers

Cardiff City
80.8%
Draw
3.8%
Bristol Rovers
15.4%
52
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Club Friendlies 3
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cardiff
Ramsey (28'), Ralls (56')
Jul 11, 2023 3pm
Aug 11, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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