MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:59:32| >> :60:47:47:
Hamburg logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Cardiff City logo

Hamburger SV
0 - 3
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tanner (48'), Davies (69'), Robinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Hamburger SV and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cardiff 7-1 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Hamburger SV 1-1 Cardiff City

Both managers will be expecting a competitive fixture on Sunday afternoon and that should indeed be the case. Hamburg have a lot of quality, but Cardiff will fancy matching the German outfit, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this pre-season clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawCardiff City
62.39% (-2.862 -2.86) 19.87% (0.751 0.75) 17.74% (2.106 2.11)
Both teams to score 58.23% (2.061 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (0.462 0.46)37.14% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (0.498 0.5)59.34% (-0.502 -0.5)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.614 -0.61)11.42% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.8% (-1.345 -1.35)36.2% (1.339 1.34)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (2.76 2.76)34.26% (-2.763 -2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (2.849 2.85)70.96% (-2.853 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 62.39%
    Cardiff City 17.74%
    Draw 19.87%
Hamburger SVDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.693 -0.69)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.414 -0.41)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.683 -0.68)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 3.61% (-0.471 -0.47)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.395 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.475 0.48)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.269 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.283 0.28)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Cardiff

Hamburger SV
43.8%
Draw
31.3%
Cardiff City
25.0%
16
rhs 2.0
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