MX23RW : Friday, January 31 01:17:12| >> :60:624:624:
Cardiff City logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Koasastadion St. Johann
Hertha Berlin logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gechter (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Cardiff City and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: Huddersfield vs. Hertha Berlin
Thursday, July 25 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Hertha Berlin

With Cardiff only having two days to recuperate from their last engagement and Hertha competing in two friendlies in the space of a few hours, there are many uncertainties to Thursday's friendly. The two outfits appear relatively evenly-matched on paper, though, and regardless of the personnel selected, we can envisage a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawHertha Berlin
37% (0.108 0.11) 22.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.19% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 66.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)34.91% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)56.89% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)19.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (0.055 0.05)51.28% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)18.01% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-0.116 -0.12)48.89% (0.115 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37%
    Hertha Berlin 40.19%
    Draw 22.81%
Cardiff CityDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Hertha Berlin

Cardiff City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Hertha Berlin
44.4%
9
rhs 2.0
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