Coventry1 - 0Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Coventry City 2-0 Oxford United
There will be a number of changes to both sides from their weekend fixtures, which makes this a difficult game to call, but we are expecting Coventry to secure their spot in the third round of the competition with a routine home success over their fellow Championship outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
53.3% ( 0.75) | 22.36% ( -0.21) | 24.34% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
