Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.