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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Barnsley

Leeds
3 - 1
Barnsley

Sinisterra (21'), Klich (32' pen., 56')
Drameh (67'), Hjelde (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andersen (35')
Styles (43'), Kitching (67'), Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Barnsley

With local pride at stake, many of Barnsley's players may raise their game for this contest. However, even if Marsch names an entirely different starting XI, we expect the home side to power their way to victory over their county neighbours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBarnsley
56.94% (1.6 1.6) 22.77% (-0.526 -0.53) 20.29% (-1.073 -1.07)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.886 0.89)46.37% (-0.885 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.828 0.83)68.65% (-0.827 -0.83)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (0.873 0.87)16.05% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (1.573 1.57)45.42% (-1.571 -1.57)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.577 -0.58)36.97% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.577 -0.58)73.76% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 56.93%
    Barnsley 20.29%
    Draw 22.77%
Leeds UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.3 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.172 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Barnsley

Leeds United
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Barnsley
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2020 5pm
Sep 15, 2019 12.30pm
Barnsley
0-2
Leeds

Sibbick (38')
Nketiah (84'), Klich (89' pen.)
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Barnsley
Pearce (17'), Alioski (50')
Vieira (31')
O'Connor (36' og.)
Hammill (87')
Nov 25, 2017 12.30pm
Barnsley
0-2
Leeds

Barnes (15'), Gardner (48'), Hammill (75')
Saiz (23'), Alioski (45')
Jansson (3'), Ayling (15'), Hernandez (53')
Jan 21, 2017 5.30pm
Barnsley
3-2
Leeds
Bradshaw (45'), Kent (48'), Hourihane (54')
Hourihane (21'), Watkins (66'), Scowen (67'), Armstrong (82')
Wood (18', 67')
Roofe (53'), Bartley (57'), O'Kane (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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