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League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Barnsley

Derby
2 - 1
Barnsley

McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Barnsley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
51.89% (1.881 1.88) 25.05% (-0.227 -0.23) 23.06% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-1.071 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.535 -0.53)52.57% (0.536 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.461 -0.46)74.23% (0.46199999999999 0.46)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (0.56699999999999 0.57)20.25% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (0.899 0.9)52.59% (-0.898 -0.9)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (-1.8 -1.8)37.74% (1.8 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-1.796 -1.8)74.52% (1.797 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 51.88%
    Barnsley 23.06%
    Draw 25.04%
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.532 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.18 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Derby
0-2
Barnsley

Byrne (45'), Jozwiak (53'), Sibley (90')
Chaplin (30'), Adeboyejo (83')
Andersen (59'), Sollbauer (61')
Jan 2, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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