MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:46:00| >> :600:728553:728553:
Salford City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moor Lane
Burnley logo

Salford City
0 - 4
Burnley


Olopade (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berge (12'), Bruun Larsen (20'), O'Shea (27'), Odobert (81')
Rodriguez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Salford City 0-2 Burnley

Burnley defeated Nottingham Forest away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they ply their trade three divisions higher than Salford City. Given the fact that Salford have also been in very poor form, the Clarets should be able to pick up a fairly comfortable victory on Tuesday night.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawBurnley
28.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.44% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.012 0.01)21.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 28.8%
    Burnley 46.12%
    Draw 25.08%
Salford CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.8%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.12%

How you voted: Salford City vs Burnley

Salford City
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Burnley
81.8%
55
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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