MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:06:58| >> :600:1554210:1554210:
Salford City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moor Lane
Burnley logo

Salford City
0 - 4
Burnley


Olopade (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berge (12'), Bruun Larsen (20'), O'Shea (27'), Odobert (81')
Rodriguez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Salford City 0-2 Burnley

Burnley defeated Nottingham Forest away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they ply their trade three divisions higher than Salford City. Given the fact that Salford have also been in very poor form, the Clarets should be able to pick up a fairly comfortable victory on Tuesday night.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawBurnley
28.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.44% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.012 0.01)21.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 28.8%
    Burnley 46.12%
    Draw 25.08%
Salford CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.8%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.12%

How you voted: Salford City vs Burnley

Salford City
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Burnley
81.8%
55
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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