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Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Salford City
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Moor Lane
Leeds logo

Salford City
1 - 1
Leeds

Smith (34')
FT
(aet)
Struijk (76')
Gnonto (60'), Darlow (104')
Salford City win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Leeds United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Salford City 1-3 Leeds United

 Having already sent Preston packing in this year's EFL Cup, Salford have nothing to lose on Tuesday and should at least fancy their chances of breaching a much-changed Leeds backline. Farke's team are yet to click into gear on all fronts this season, but with an abundance of attacking talent waiting in the wings, the Whites should bring a swift end to Salford's EFL Cup adventure, as was the case four years ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%).

Result
Salford CityDrawLeeds United
37.25% (1.297 1.3) 24.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 37.93% (-1.313 -1.31)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.705 0.7)23.76% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (1.001 1)57.91% (-1 -1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.672 -0.67)23.41% (0.674 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.987 -0.99)57.39% (0.986 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 37.25%
    Leeds United 37.93%
    Draw 24.82%
Salford CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.173 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 4% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.164 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Leeds

Salford City
12.3%
Leeds United
87.7%
57
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Salford City
0-3
Leeds

Jones (93')
Nketiah (43'), Berardi (50'), Klich (58')
Klich (87')
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