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Preston North End logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale (Preston)
Salford City

Preston
2 - 3
Salford City

Woodburn (44'), Holmes (50')
Holmes (50'), Best (90+7')
FT
(aet)
McLennan (5', 38')
McLennan (27'), Cairns (80')
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Preston North End and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Preston North End 1-0 Salford City

With both managers expected to make plenty of changes for this cup tie, Preston should be able to keep their League Two opponents at arm's length for the majority of the encounter. Although Lowe's side clearly lack depth in offensive areas, they are generally very strong defensively and we can envisage them calling upon their solidity to secure a tight win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawSalford City
40.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.42% (0.0019999999999989 0) 33.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.15% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 40.92%
    Salford City 33.66%
    Draw 25.41%
Preston North EndDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Preston vs Salford City

Preston North End
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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