EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Shrewsbury3 - 3Notts County
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Shrewsbury Town and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Notts County |
33.04% ( -0.14) | 24.68% ( 0.04) | 42.28% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( -0.23) | 44.83% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% ( -0.22) | 67.19% ( 0.22) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.2) | 26.14% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -0.26) | 61.22% ( 0.26) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -0.05) | 21.26% ( 0.05) |