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FA Cup
Notts County
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Notts County
2 - 3
Shrewsbury

Brindley (38'), Sanderson (75')
Bostock (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bowman (1', 49', 56')
Dunkley (16'), Marosi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Notts County and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Notts County 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

 A closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Friday considering that there is little to separate these two teams. However, when taking into account Notts County's strong home form and goalscoring prowess, coupled with Shrewsbury's poor away record and lack of threat in the final third, we believe that the hosts will do enough to secure their place in the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
59.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.39% (0.0010000000000012 0) 20.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.81% (0.007000000000005 0.01)57.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.01100000000001 0.01)30.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)66.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 59.14%
    Shrewsbury Town 20.47%
    Draw 20.39%
Notts CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.74%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.23%
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 20.47%

How you voted: Notts County vs Shrewsbury

Notts County
91.9%
Draw
5.4%
Shrewsbury Town
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
Notts County
2-3
Shrewsbury
Grealish (8'), Sheehan (13' pen.)
Sheehan (22')
Spencer (44')
Taylor (32', 67'), McAllister (70')
Mills (39'), Goldson (50')
Nov 23, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Notts County
Reach (73')

Boucaud (31')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Notts County
Taylor (81'), Rodgers (19')
Goldson (56'), Taylor (60')
Campbell-Ryce (45'), Hughes (24')
Liddle (78'), Hughes (90')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Notts County
3-2
Shrewsbury
Hughes (64'), Zoko (57'), Hughes (87')
Judge (81')
Grandison (62'), Richards (61' pen.)
Grandison (73')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Notts County

Dunfield (6'), McIntyre (33'), Bright (90')
Davies (36')
Rodgers (5'), Lee (82'), Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
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