MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:57:07| >> :60:28:28:
Shrewsbury Town
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Derby logo

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Derby

O'Reilly (22'), Bloxham (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (29')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Shrewsbury Town and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Leicester
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 Derby
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawDerby County
20.29% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 54.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (0.029999999999994 0.03)54.33% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)75.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.022000000000006 0.02)19.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 20.29%
    Derby County 54.93%
    Draw 24.76%
Shrewsbury TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 13.3%
0-2 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 54.93%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Derby
1-1
Shrewsbury
Bird (54')
Hourihane (67'), Adams (84')
Pierre (87')
Winchester (36'), Pierre (82'), Benning (84')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Shrewsbury
1-0
Derby
Hourihane (56' og.)
Flanagan (86')

Nelson (86'), Bradley (90+6')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Derby
2-2
Shrewsbury
Roberts (20'), McGoldrick (45+1')
Bayliss (49'), Leahy (72' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-0
Derby
Bayliss (75'), Flanagan (77'), Nurse (88')
Knight (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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