MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:09:53| >> :600:1521986:1521986:
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Burnley logo

Wolves
2 - 0
Burnley

Guedes (38', 54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-6 Chelsea
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Burnley

Wolves have a much stronger squad than their opponents due to Burnley losing 16 players so far in the transfer window, suggesting the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
40.01% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 25.04% (-0.032 -0.03) 34.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.39% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (0.145 0.15)46.04% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.138 0.14)68.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.088000000000008 0.09)22.87% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (0.13 0.13)56.61% (-0.132 -0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)25.59% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)60.47% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.01%
    Burnley 34.94%
    Draw 25.03%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.94%

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
75.8%
Draw
7.8%
Burnley
16.4%
128
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
1-1
Wolves
Ait-Nouri (45+3')
Semedo (54'), Gomes (90+3')
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
1-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (42')
Lemina (57'), Kilman (80')

Brownhill (2'), Berge (53'), Taylor (63'), Ekdal (74')
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
Club Friendlies
Wolves
3-0
Burnley
Gibbs-White (3'), Podence (26'), Chiquinho (54')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
1-0
Wolves
Vydra (62')
Vydra (33'), Taylor (77'), Barnes (90+4')

Neto (90+4')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolves
0-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (18'), Kilman (86')
Mee (7'), Lowton (18'), Rodriguez (64')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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