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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
5 - 0
Cardiff

Horvath (9' og.), Koleosho (31'), Brownhill (51'), Amdouni (88'), Berg Gudmundsson (90+2')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramsey (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Burnley made Turf Moor a fortress during their title-winning campaign of 2022-23, and we are expecting a similar story for the Clarets this time around. Cardiff have been unconvincing to date this season, so we cannot envisage them collecting any points during a trip to one of the favourites for automatic promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
31.3% (-1.659 -1.66) 24.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.15% (1.669 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)44.88% (0.591 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-0.565 -0.56)67.23% (0.571 0.57)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.318 -1.32)27.25% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.748 -1.75)62.68% (1.754 1.75)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.508 0.51)20.43% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.797 0.8)52.88% (-0.792 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.3%
    Cardiff City 44.15%
    Draw 24.54%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.169 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.354 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.123 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
90.4%
Draw
3.8%
Cardiff City
5.8%
52
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Burnley
3-0
Cardiff
Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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