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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.3% ( -1.66) | 24.55% ( -0) | 44.15% ( 1.67) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( -0.59) | 44.88% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -0.56) | 67.23% ( 0.57) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( -1.32) | 27.25% ( 1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% ( -1.75) | 62.68% ( 1.75) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.57% ( 0.51) | 20.43% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.12% ( 0.8) | 52.88% ( -0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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