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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Crawley

Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Bartley (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Marshall (40'), Powell (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
42.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 31.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54%23.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53%57.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.78% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 42.56%
    Crawley Town 31.63%
    Draw 25.8%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.63%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley

AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crawley Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Edwards (34')
Walton (68'), Edwards (80'), Donnelly (88')
Akinfenwa (51'), Barcham (76')
Taylor (74')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Crawley
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Alexander (81')
Davies (4'), Dempster (53')
Akpan (6')
rhs 2.0
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