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Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Portsmouth

Crawley
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Telford (8' pen.), Bremang (90+5' pen.)
Wells (16')
FT
(aet)
Robertson (74'), Scarlett (81')
Jacobs (57'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Crawley win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%).

Result
Crawley TownDrawPortsmouth
30.31% (0.869 0.87) 25.44% (0.665 0.66) 44.25% (-1.53 -1.53)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-1.694 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-2.442 -2.44)49.23% (2.445 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-2.241 -2.24)71.29% (2.247 2.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)30.1% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (-0.767 -0.77)66.23% (0.771 0.77)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-1.701 -1.7)22.21% (1.706 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (-2.632 -2.63)55.63% (2.635 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.31%
    Portsmouth 44.24%
    Draw 25.44%
Crawley TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.644 0.64)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.308 0.31)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 30.31%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.644 0.64)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.479 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.24%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Crawley
Clarke (30'), Hawkins (35'), O'Keefe (71')
May (27')
Sanoh (65')
Djalo (53')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Crawley
0-2
Portsmouth

Young (38')
Burgess (54'), Bennett (71')
Hunt (72'), Doyle (90')
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
3-0
Crawley
Main (9', 37'), Roberts (12')
Main (33'), Davies (63')

Blackman (30')
rhs 2.0
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