MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:00:16| >> :600:229395:229395:
Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
3 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Hopper (16'), Anderson (43'), Egbo (50')
Payne (46'), Goodliffe (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nichols (79'), Heaven (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Colchester United 2-2 Arsenal Under-21s (Colchester win on penalties)

 Tuesday's tie has all the makings of a goal-laden thriller, as Arsenal's defending has been nothing short of woeful over the past few weeks, but Colchester are set to be working with limited options at the back. It may take the dreaded 12-yard shootout to settle these two teams, and Colchester's more experienced heads will likely prevail if that is the case, although both sides should be celebrating progression to the knockout rounds come full time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
51.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.62% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 27.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.45% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.35% (0.066999999999993 0.07)33.64% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)55.46% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (0.061 0.06)40.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.041000000000004 0.04)58.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 51.33%
    Arsenal Under-21s 27.04%
    Draw 21.62%
Colchester UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Colchester vs Arsenal U21s

Colchester United
59.1%
Draw
18.2%
Arsenal Under-21s
22.7%
22
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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