MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:17:43| >> :600:377651:377651:
Swindon Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
2 - 1
Colchester

McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
FT
(aet)
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%).

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
43.29% (0.108 0.11) 24.12% (-0.035 -0.04) 32.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.96% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.153 0.15)42.4% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.15300000000001 0.15)64.8% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.113 0.11)19.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16% (0.178 0.18)51.84% (-0.172 -0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.036999999999992 0.04)25.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.046999999999997 0.05)60% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.29%
    Colchester United 32.59%
    Draw 24.12%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.59%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
rhs 2.0
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