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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United |
53.76% ( 0.55) | 22.22% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% ( -0.47) | 39.42% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% ( -0.49) | 61.76% ( 0.49) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.3% ( 0.02) | 14.7% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.11% ( 0.04) | 42.89% ( -0.03) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( -0.68) | 29.67% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( -0.83) | 65.72% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |