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Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Cambridge United

Peterborough
2 - 0
Cambridge

Katongo (19'), Mason-Clark (54')
Burrows (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kachunga (61'), McConnell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Reading
Monday, September 4 at 8pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-0 Cambridge United

 Cambridge United's start to the season indicates they may not be involved in a relegation battle this season, but it is a tall order to expect them to take anything from Tuesday's game. Last season's play-off semi-finalists should be able to kick off their EFL Trophy campaign with a victory on home soil, although it will depend on how seriously they are planning to take the competition.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCambridge United
50.72% (-0.714 -0.71) 23.67% (0.221 0.22) 25.61% (0.495 0.5)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)44.55% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.529 -0.53)66.92% (0.53 0.53)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.47 -0.47)17.62% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78% (-0.824 -0.82)48.22% (0.825 0.83)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.107 0.11)31.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.124 0.12)67.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 50.72%
    Cambridge United 25.61%
    Draw 23.67%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.09 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Cambridge

Peterborough United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Cambridge
2-0
Peterborough
Dunk (45+2'), Smith (66')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Peterborough
1-0
Cambridge
Jones (18' og.)
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Cambridge
1-1
Peterborough
 Cambridge win 3-1 on penalties
Worman (86')
Dunk (25'), Knowles (90+4')
Clarke (49')
Blake-Tracy (77'), Clarke (85')
Nov 12, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
2-1
Cambridge
Ward (9'), Jade-Jones (30')
Jones (83')
Knibbs (79')
Norville-Williams (77'), Smith (90')
Nov 7, 2017 7.45pm
-
Cambridge
0-2
Peterborough

Lewis (55')
Taylor (50'), Marriott (81')
Edwards (64')
rhs 2.0
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