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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
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Reading
5 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Ehibhaimha (13', 35'), Vickers (24'), Knibbs (68'), Smith (90+5')
Guinness-Walker (45+3'), Holmes (54'), Craig (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Vieira (33' pen.), Edwards (52')
Ibrahim (11'), Walters (19')
Heaven (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Reading and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Reading
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-3 Man City U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Reading 1-1 Arsenal Under-21s (Reading win on penalties)

 With a plethora of star men from both clubs missing, a high-scoring classic should not be expected at the Madejski, although Arsenal still possess some effervescent attacking forces ready to make their presence felt. For all of their League One troubles, Reading have had no problem breaching opposing backlines in Group F either, and we can picture the Royals coming out on top in the shootout following a closely-contested draw to advance as section winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
46.73% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 30.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.32% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)36.26% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.067 -0.07)58.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)45.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)23.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)57.46% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 46.73%
    Arsenal Under-21s 30.61%
    Draw 22.66%
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Reading vs Arsenal U21s

Reading
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Arsenal Under-21s
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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