MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 08:56:11| >> :600:554389:554389:
Reading logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
5 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Ehibhaimha (13', 35'), Vickers (24'), Knibbs (68'), Smith (90+5')
Guinness-Walker (45+3'), Holmes (54'), Craig (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Vieira (33' pen.), Edwards (52')
Ibrahim (11'), Walters (19')
Heaven (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Reading and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Reading
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-3 Man City U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Reading 1-1 Arsenal Under-21s (Reading win on penalties)

With a plethora of star men from both clubs missing, a high-scoring classic should not be expected at the Madejski, although Arsenal still possess some effervescent attacking forces ready to make their presence felt. For all of their League One troubles, Reading have had no problem breaching opposing backlines in Group F either, and we can picture the Royals coming out on top in the shootout following a closely-contested draw to advance as section winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
46.73% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 30.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.32% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)36.26% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.067 -0.07)58.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)45.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)23.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)57.46% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 46.73%
    Arsenal Under-21s 30.61%
    Draw 22.66%
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Reading vs Arsenal U21s

Reading
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Arsenal Under-21s
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!