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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
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Swindon Town

Reading
5 - 0
Swindon

Knibbs (19', 45+2', 49' pen.), Mukairu (90+4'), Dean (90+6')
Craig (23'), Holmes (27'), Knibbs (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Shade (31'), Hutt (90+3')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Reading and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawSwindon Town
34.73% (1.959 1.96) 24.73% (0.25 0.25) 40.54% (-2.208 -2.21)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33% (-0.649 -0.65)44.67% (0.653 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97% (-0.631 -0.63)67.04% (0.634 0.63)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.84700000000001 0.85)25.08% (-0.845 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (1.157 1.16)59.76% (-1.153 -1.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-1.308 -1.31)22.01% (1.312 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-2.024 -2.02)55.33% (2.027 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Reading 34.73%
    Swindon Town 40.54%
    Draw 24.73%
ReadingDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.39 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.105 0.11)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: Reading vs Swindon

Reading
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Swindon Town
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Swindon
1-2
Reading
Goddard (45')
Rakels (79'), Stacey (88')
rhs 2.0
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