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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Portsmouth

Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
29.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.4% (-0.026 -0.03) 45.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.107 0.11)49.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.44% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.056000000000012 0.06)30.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.52%
    Portsmouth 45.07%
    Draw 25.4%
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

How you voted: Reading vs Portsmouth

Reading
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Portsmouth
1-2
Reading
Chaplin (40')
Blackman (64'), McCleary (84')
Robson-Kanu (45'), Norwood (74')
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Reading
Kitson (51')
Mullins (20'), Ward (90')

Hunt (58'), Pearce (85')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Reading
2-0
Portsmouth
Long (30', 37' pen.)
McAnuff (40')

De Laet (8'), Mullins (27'), Hogg (90')
Rocha (36')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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