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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Portsmouth

Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
29.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.4% (-0.026 -0.03) 45.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.107 0.11)49.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.44% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.056000000000012 0.06)30.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.52%
    Portsmouth 45.07%
    Draw 25.4%
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

How you voted: Reading vs Portsmouth

Reading
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Portsmouth
1-2
Reading
Chaplin (40')
Blackman (64'), McCleary (84')
Robson-Kanu (45'), Norwood (74')
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Reading
Kitson (51')
Mullins (20'), Ward (90')

Hunt (58'), Pearce (85')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Reading
2-0
Portsmouth
Long (30', 37' pen.)
McAnuff (40')

De Laet (8'), Mullins (27'), Hogg (90')
Rocha (36')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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