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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Portsmouth

Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
29.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.4% (-0.026 -0.03) 45.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.107 0.11)49.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.44% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.056000000000012 0.06)30.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.52%
    Portsmouth 45.07%
    Draw 25.4%
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

How you voted: Reading vs Portsmouth

Reading
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Portsmouth
1-2
Reading
Chaplin (40')
Blackman (64'), McCleary (84')
Robson-Kanu (45'), Norwood (74')
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Reading
Kitson (51')
Mullins (20'), Ward (90')

Hunt (58'), Pearce (85')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Reading
2-0
Portsmouth
Long (30', 37' pen.)
McAnuff (40')

De Laet (8'), Mullins (27'), Hogg (90')
Rocha (36')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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