Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.