MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:55:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Lillestrom

Tromso
3 - 1
Lillestrom

Gundersen (66'), Erlien (72' pen.), Paintsil (89')
Gundersen (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garnas (45+1')
Svendsen (24'), Garnas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Tromso
Sunday, July 30 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 0-0 Lillestrom

Games involving Tromso IL have often been low-scoring affairs so far this season, while Lillestrom have struggled to find the back of the net on the road. Given that the two teams are also fairly evenly-matched, we expect Sunday's game to finish as a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
28.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 46.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.32% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.27% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.055 -0.05)66.44% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.012 -0.01)52.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 28.69%
    Lillestrom 46.5%
    Draw 24.81%
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.5%

How you voted: Tromso vs Lillestrom

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Lillestrom
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Lillestrom
1-1
Tromso
Christiansen (90+4')
Kitolano (36')
Kitolano (90+5')
May 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-2
Lillestrom
Kitolano (42'), Ebiye (90+2')
Gundersen (9')
Matthew (60'), Dragsnes (72')
Christiansen (85'), Adams (90')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-2
Tromso
Lehne Olsen (90+1' pen.)
Ogbu (68')
Vesterlund (27'), Mikkelsen (62')
Psyche (71'), Vesterlund (77')
Jun 20, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Tromso
1-2
Lillestrom
Mikkelsen (26')
Lehne Olsen (2', 52')
Ranger (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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