Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax5 - 1Heerenveen
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 72.7% | 15.45% | 11.85% |
| Both teams to score 59.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.55% | 28.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.69% | 49.31% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% | 6.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.92% | 25.08% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 72.7%
Heerenveen 11.85%
Draw 15.45%
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 6.61% 4-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.77% 5-2 @ 1.49% 6-1 @ 1.31% 6-0 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.57% Total : 72.7% | 1-1 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 2.46% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.45% | 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-1 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-2 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.85% |
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
1-3
Ajax
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Jan 24, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
3-1
Heerenveen
Jan 20, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-4
Heerenveen
