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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.11% ( -0.01) | 25.01% ( 0.02) | 47.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( -0.06) | 49.17% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( -0.06) | 71.23% ( 0.06) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% ( -0.04) | 32.42% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% ( -0.04) | 68.94% ( 0.04) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0.03) | 20.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.91% ( -0.05) | 53.09% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.11% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |