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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Excelsior

Almere City
2 - 1
Excelsior

Resink (43'), Widell (68' og.)
Pena (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parrott (26')
Widell (20'), Baas (47'), Sandra (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Both sides have cause for optimism based on their results in recent weeks, and we anticipate a tight encounter on Friday with a share of the spoils being the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
49.08% (0.202 0.2) 22.9% (-0.055 -0.05) 28.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.151 0.15)39.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.158 0.16)61.41% (-0.161 -0.16)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.127 0.13)16.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.235 0.23)45.66% (-0.238 -0.24)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)61.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 49.08%
    SBV Excelsior 28.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.01%

How you voted: Almere City vs Excelsior

Almere City
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
SBV Excelsior
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Excelsior
0-0
Almere City
El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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