Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ0 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.87%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-3 (6.94%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
| 21.8% | 20.33% | 57.87% |
| Both teams to score 63.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.98% | 33.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.25% | 54.74% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.45% | 63.55% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% | 11.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.92% | 36.08% |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 21.8%
Ajax 57.87%
Draw 20.33%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.6% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.47% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.44% 2-3 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.64% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 1.05% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.87% |
How you voted: AZ vs Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
13.0%Draw
13.0%Ajax
73.9%23
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2020 7pm
Mar 17, 2019 1.30pm
Oct 7, 2018 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
5-0
AZ
Van de Beek (3'), Dolberg (48'), Van Rhijn (52' og.), Ziyech (61'), Tadic (84')
Huntelaar (67'), Tagliafico (83')
Huntelaar (67'), Tagliafico (83')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
