We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Heracles
Judging by recent results, AZ are nailed on favourites to come out on top this weekend, and we expect them to live up to expectations in what should be a routine victory for the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 84.71%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.55%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heracles |
| 84.71% | 10.99% | 4.29% |
| Both teams to score 36.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.79% | 36.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.87% | 6.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.75% | 23.25% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.88% | 91.12% |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 84.7%
Heracles 4.29%
Draw 10.99%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 14.56% 3-0 @ 13.55% 1-0 @ 10.43% 4-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.72% 5-0 @ 5.29% 4-1 @ 4.69% 5-1 @ 2.62% 6-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.66% 6-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% 7-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 84.7% | 1-1 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.99% | 0-1 @ 1.85% 1-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.16% Total : 4.29% |
How you voted: AZ vs Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
91.7%Draw
8.3%Heracles
0.0%24
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ
Sep 29, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
AZ
2-0
Heracles
