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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
35.46% ( -0.02) | 26.05% ( 0) | 38.49% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.02) | 50.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.02) | 72.37% ( 0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( -0.02) | 27.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( -0.03) | 62.84% ( 0.03) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% | 25.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% | 60.55% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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