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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
35.46% ( -0.02) | 26.05% ( 0) | 38.49% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.02) | 50.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.02) | 72.37% ( 0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( -0.02) | 27.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( -0.03) | 62.84% ( 0.03) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% | 25.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% | 60.55% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |