MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:51:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Excelsior

Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior

Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Duinen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

 SBV Excelsior have struggled on their travels, while Sparta Rotterdam have managed to win five of their eight home games this season. We think the hosts will edge this one, and the Kralingers' troubles on the road will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
48.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%
    SBV Excelsior 26.89%
    Draw 24.7%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Sparta vs Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam
86.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!