Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Heracles |
| 43.11% | 24.89% | 32% |
| Both teams to score 57.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% | 46.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% | 68.43% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% | 21.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.56% | 54.44% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.1% | 62.91% |
| Score Analysis |
Emmen 43.11%
Heracles 32%
Draw 24.89%
| Emmen | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32% |
How you voted: Emmen vs Heracles
Emmen
41.2%Draw
17.6%Heracles
41.2%17
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2021 8pm
