Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 83.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
-0.41) 
0.26) 
