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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
43.93% ( 1.06) | 24.53% ( 0.06) | 31.54% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( -0.68) | 44.68% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.66) | 67.05% ( 0.66) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.19) | 20.45% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( 0.31) | 52.91% ( -0.31) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -1.03) | 27.01% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( -1.36) | 62.37% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |