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FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Sparta Rotterdam logo

FC Twente
1 - 0
Sparta

Brenet (53')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Brama (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sambo (47'), van Crooij (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam (FC Twente to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Following Thursday's stalemate, FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam have now played out three draws this season, although the Tukkers could – and probably should – have defeated De Kasteelheren last time out. Sunday's showdown looks destined to be another closely-fought battle, but we expect Twente to edge Sparta this time around, as the Pride of the East have won 16 of their 22 home games this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSparta Rotterdam
60.28% (0.255 0.26) 20.62% (0.067 0.07) 19.1% (-0.329 -0.33)
Both teams to score 58.19% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-0.837 -0.84)38.4% (0.83 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.893 -0.89)60.69% (0.887 0.89)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.193 -0.19)12.38% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (-0.395 -0.39)38.25% (0.388 0.39)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.825 -0.83)33.57% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.911 -0.91)70.22% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 60.28%
    Sparta Rotterdam 19.1%
    Draw 20.62%
FC TwenteDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.227 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Sparta

FC Twente
84.1%
Draw
6.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 7pm
Sparta
1-1
FC Twente
Van Crooij (47' pen.)
Eerdhuijzen (31'), Verschueren (90+6')
Zerrouki (90+2')
Pleguezuelo (25'), Brenet (27'), Sadilek (53'), Propper (53'), Misidjan (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 11.15am
gameweek 30
FC Twente
3-3
Sparta
Brenet (22'), Abels (65' og.), Cerny (67')
Lauritsen (32', 42'), Sambo (90+1')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 14
Sparta
1-1
FC Twente
Steijn (63')
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
gameweek 27
FC Twente
2-0
Sparta
Van Wolfswinkel (23'), Vlap (57')

Vriends (51'), Verschueren (59'), Masouras (79')
Nov 20, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 12
Sparta
0-1
FC Twente

Masouras (82')
Van Wolfswinkel (83' pen.)
Vlap (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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