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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
45.61% ( 0.83) | 22.74% ( 0.18) | 31.65% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 64.62% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.89% ( -1.35) | 36.11% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.78% ( -1.49) | 58.22% ( 1.5) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( -0.21) | 16.33% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.07% ( -0.39) | 45.93% ( 0.4) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% ( -1.2) | 22.77% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.54% ( -1.82) | 56.46% ( 1.82) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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