Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Nov 13, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

De Kuip

Feyenoord
5 - 1
Excelsior

Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Paixao (26'), Hartman (47')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Goudmijn (4')
van Duinen (19'), Baas (74'), Donkor (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cambuur
Thursday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Feyenoord 3-1 SBV Excelsior

Feyenoord have been solid at the back all season long, and while we expect them to be breached defensively here, we also fancy them to do enough damage at the top end of the pitch to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	SBV Excelsior
71.27% ( -0.97)	16.85% ( 0.43)	11.88% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

-0.63)

35.66% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

-0.7)

57.72% (

0.69)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.16% (

-0.37)

8.84% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.72% (

-0.91)

30.28% (

0.91)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

0.47)

41.14% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

0.42)

77.68% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 71.27%

SBV Excelsior 11.88%

Draw 16.85%

Feyenoord	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 71.27%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.85%	1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.88%