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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Feyenoord
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
De Kuip
Excelsior

Feyenoord
5 - 1
Excelsior

Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Paixao (26'), Hartman (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goudmijn (4')
van Duinen (19'), Baas (74'), Donkor (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cambuur
Thursday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Feyenoord 3-1 SBV Excelsior

Feyenoord have been solid at the back all season long, and while we expect them to be breached defensively here, we also fancy them to do enough damage at the top end of the pitch to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawSBV Excelsior
71.27% (-0.974 -0.97) 16.85% (0.433 0.43) 11.88% (0.538 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.628 -0.63)35.66% (0.624 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.697 -0.7)57.72% (0.694 0.69)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (-0.374 -0.37)8.84% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.72% (-0.91300000000001 -0.91)30.28% (0.91 0.91)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.473 0.47)41.14% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.419 0.42)77.68% (-0.423 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 71.27%
    SBV Excelsior 11.88%
    Draw 16.85%
FeyenoordDrawSBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.185 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.25% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 2.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 71.27%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.136 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.88%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Excelsior

Feyenoord
90.0%
Draw
3.3%
SBV Excelsior
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
Aug 20, 2017 11.30am
May 7, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
3-0
Feyenoord
Hasselbaink (56'), Elbers (59'), Koolwijk (65')
de Wijs (44')

Vilhena (78'), Kongolo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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