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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Vitesse

PSV
1 - 0
Vitesse

Til (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dijks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Vitesse

PSV need to string together an extensive run of victories in order to keep their title dreams alive, and given their home record this season, it is difficult to see them not claiming all three points this weekend. Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league, but PSV should have too much firepower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
75.43% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92) 14.48% (0.503 0.5) 10.09% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.15% (-1.326 -1.33)28.85% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.21% (-1.645 -1.65)49.79% (1.642 1.64)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.453 -0.45)6.39% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.04% (-1.256 -1.26)23.96% (1.254 1.25)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.59% (-0.238 -0.24)39.41% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.89% (-0.223 -0.22)76.1% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 75.43%
    Vitesse 10.09%
    Draw 14.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.356 0.36)
4-0 @ 6.01% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.48%
1-2 @ 3% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.09%

How you voted: PSV vs Vitesse

PSV Eindhoven
83.9%
Draw
6.5%
Vitesse
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
0-5
PSV

Bazoer (38'), Oroz (67')
Zahavi (4'), Junior (24'), Gakpo (28'), Vinicius (62'), Doan (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
2-0
Vitesse
Sangare (19'), Bruma (30')

Openda (25'), Wittek (45')
Feb 21, 2021 3.45pm
PSV
3-1
Vitesse
Malen (66'), Gotze (86', 88')
Gutierrez (38'), Sangare (75')
Broja (4')
Oct 25, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-1
PSV
Rasmussen (9'), Openda (54')
Tronstad (64'), Buitink (80'), Dasa (84')
Boscagli (50')
Feb 23, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
PSV
Matavz (50')
Obispo (36')
Lammers (59' pen.), Gakpo (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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