Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.